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Zdjęcie autoraJarosław Jamka

Did cryptos help gold start rising?

Certainly yes, to some extent. Cryptocurrencies were not present in previous cycles, and their current popularity may have additionally attracted attention, among others: on faith in central banks and fiat currencies.


High rates of return also attract attention... Bitcoin has already increased by 311% since the bottom in November 2022. This year alone it is already up by 58%. Moreover, it started growing about one month before gold - see Figure 1.



Of course, gold increased only by 13% - see Figure 2, where we have a comparison on one axis (gold vs top 5 cryptos).



However, the total dollar impact is distributed differently - when we consider the markets cap of gold and cryptos - Figure 3.



Figure 4 shows how much the market capitalization of gold and crypto has changed in 2024. Even though gold increased by only 13%, this means an increase in market capitalization by as much as $1.85 trillion - almost twice as much as in the case of cryptos.



Bonus chart - what the change in the market cap of "scary assets" looks like against the change in the total market value of the US federal debt is shown in Figure 5.



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